Jun 15, 2023
Author
Jack Powell
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February 2022 Market Update

2022 - What to expect? We continue to move through a significant historical moment with the US and European Central Banks continuing to print money to stimulate their economies.

What to expect in 2022

"Forecasting" is a polite synonym for "guessing." The better ones are informed guesses but still inherently uncertain. With this in mind, here are some forecasts:

1. The US Federal Reserve will wind down their money-printing program faster than expected and commence raising cash rates maybe as soon as the first quarter of 2022.

2. The Reserve Bank of Australia will reverse course on Quantitative Easing (OE) and admit that inflation is an issue they need to address with rising rates.

3. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will continue to raise rates as forecast. At this time, ANZ is forecasting that the Official Cash Rate will go no higher than 2%, but the RBNZ is forecasting the cash rate will peak at 2.6%.

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